Blog

Three Hints on the Direction of Chinese Assets October 04, 2018

By Steven Vannelli, CFA in Markets

The Chinese stock market is closed this week for the Golden Week holiday. On this side of the Pacific the markets have been busy this week with US Treasury bond yields breaking out and stocks selling off—especially technology—based on the revelation that China implanted devices…

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Small Caps Fail to Break Out September 27, 2018

By Steven Vannelli, CFA in Markets

  Among the major groups of stocks around the world that we follow, US small-cap stocks have been the best performer over the last decade as the USD experienced a strong bull market. US small caps have outperformed our mid/large group of developed companies by…

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Playing for a Bounce September 20, 2018

By Steven Vannelli, CFA in Markets

Over the summer, some groups within the global equity market sold off sharply, leading to the current trends of poor performance and weak breadth. Foreign stocks, cyclicals and value-oriented sectors were the hardest hit. From here, we expect better trends from these groups as they…

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Spotlight: Inside Prada’s Knowledge Workshop September 11, 2018

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Knowledge Leaders

For decades, the fashion industry has tried to explain the elusive magic of the Prada brand. “Some designers are seekers of trends, but Prada actually is the trend, season after season,” the New York Times Magazine wrote. And this summer, when Jeff Goldblum appeared on…

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The Phillips Curve (the relationship between wages and the unemployment rate) finally awoke from its slumber with today’s unemployment report showing private sector wages rising 2.9% year-over-year and non-supervisory wages rising 2.8% year-over-year, the fastest growth rate since 2009. Even more important than that, though,…

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Thoughts on the Term Premium September 07, 2018

By Steven Vannelli, CFA in Economy, Markets

As many have documented, the main channel of transmission for the Fed’s quantitative easing policy was via the term premium component of US treasuries. As the Fed’s balance sheet doubled from 2010 to 2015, the term premium embedded in US treasuries fell from 2.5% to…

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What We’re Reading August 21, 2018

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Economy, News

Recently we were asked about the latest books and ideas contributing to our economic analysis. Here’s an incomplete list of what we’ve been reading this summer. Straight Talk on Trade: Ideas for a Sane World Economy  By Dani Rodrik A discussion of free trade and…

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