Blog

Estimates Are Hazardous to Your Wealth. Everyone knows that accounting is boring (not when I teach it, though), but, at least, people think it’s factual. No fake news. After all, accounting comes from counting―counting money, units of inventory, etc. All facts. Nothing further from the truth. Except…

Read More

American Evolutions from Sears to Google October 10, 2018

By Peter Zeihan in Guest Author

Today’s story begins with the once-behemoth that is the American retail firm, Sears. In the last week of September Sears’ stock dipped below $1 a share, reducing the company’s market value below $100 million. Sears may still linger on a bit, but when a big…

Read More

Are We in for a Bond-pocalypse or Something Much Milder? October 10, 2018

By Bryce Coward, CFA in Markets

Is last week’s 18 basis point selloff in 10 year government bonds the start of a bond bear market or a market adjusting to the realities of the time, albeit in a somewhat disorderly way? The answer to this question has obvious implications for not…

Read More

Three Hints on the Direction of Chinese Assets October 04, 2018

By Steven Vannelli, CFA in Markets

The Chinese stock market is closed this week for the Golden Week holiday. On this side of the Pacific the markets have been busy this week with US Treasury bond yields breaking out and stocks selling off—especially technology—based on the revelation that China implanted devices…

Read More

Small Caps Fail to Break Out September 27, 2018

By Steven Vannelli, CFA in Markets

  Among the major groups of stocks around the world that we follow, US small-cap stocks have been the best performer over the last decade as the USD experienced a strong bull market. US small caps have outperformed our mid/large group of developed companies by…

Read More

Playing for a Bounce September 20, 2018

By Steven Vannelli, CFA in Markets

Over the summer, some groups within the global equity market sold off sharply, leading to the current trends of poor performance and weak breadth. Foreign stocks, cyclicals and value-oriented sectors were the hardest hit. From here, we expect better trends from these groups as they…

Read More

Spotlight: Inside Prada’s Knowledge Workshop September 11, 2018

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Knowledge Leaders

For decades, the fashion industry has tried to explain the elusive magic of the Prada brand. “Some designers are seekers of trends, but Prada actually is the trend, season after season,” the New York Times Magazine wrote. And this summer, when Jeff Goldblum appeared on…

Read More