Markets

Bitcoin Rebound Suggests US Dollar Bear to Return Soon May 03, 2018

Posted by Steven Vannelli, CFA in Markets, News

Bitcoin made a closing high on December 18, 2017 at $18,764 and then proceeded to fall to the closing low for the year, $6,604.48 on April 6, 2018. Since then, it has rebounded almost 50% to today’s level of $9,670, having broken back through the…

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US-German Bond Spreads & Equity Leadership April 12, 2018

Posted by Steven Vannelli, CFA in Markets

Recent weak data emanating from the Eurozone has been weighing on German Bund yields. The significant drop in the Eurozone Citigroup Economic Surprise Index (CESI) has pressured German Bund yields lower. Looking through the structural decline in German yields, we can see that short-term, cyclical…

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Energy Stocks Are Starting to Flow April 05, 2018

Posted by Steven Vannelli, CFA in Markets, Portfolio Management

Energy stocks are looking lively today, with energy the best performing sector in the US and second best performing sector in Europe. The likely reason for the buoyant performance is a continued improvement in fundamentals. Inventory data released yesterday showed a steady decline in crude…

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Time to Be Alert! March 13, 2018

Posted by Steven Vannelli, CFA in Markets

This is the time to be alert for any signs of a failure in the S&P 500. Why? There are two really good historical precedents to the current market configuration. The set-up is as follows: stocks suffer a rather quick correction, bounce back, take out…

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Crypto-Crash Part 2 January 30, 2018

Posted by Steven Vannelli, CFA in Markets, News

On January 17, I wrote a blog titled “Crypto-Crash” (link: http://blog.knowledgeleaderscapital.com/?p=13867) where I speculated that the next stop for Bitcoin would be $8,000. On that day Bitcoin touched $9,100 and then bounced back to $12,000. It has since been range bound between $10,000 and $12,000……

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Crypto-Crash January 17, 2018

Posted by Steven Vannelli, CFA in Markets

Bitcoin prices have corrected severely in the last 48 hours. The news flow suggests investors have concerns about increased regulation in China and South Korea. No doubt these headlines have spooked investors, but I think there is something else at work. Over the last year,…

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Special Report on the Energy Industry December 14, 2017

Posted by Steven Vannelli, CFA in Economy, Markets, Portfolio Management

We expect momentum in the energy sector and resource-related currencies to continue into 2018. In this mid-quarter update to investors, we analyze what this means for the market. In summary: Oil prices are testing resistance, and if they can break out, there is significant upside. Oil…

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Cash is an Asset Class Again! November 30, 2017

Posted by Steven Vannelli, CFA in Economy, Markets, Portfolio Management

In a US Dollar bull market with interest rates at zero, cash is rightfully dismissed as a non-asset class. But, when the US Dollar is in a bear cycle, things change, irrespective of what US interest rates are. There are a handful of indicators we…

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