Commodities Tag

The Probability of Stagflation is Rising

10 Dec, by Bryce Coward, CFA in Economy, Markets, Portfolio Management

This week we were privy to both new inflation and initial unemployment claims data. The CPI data revealed a rather mundane inflation scenario. Meanwhile, the weekly initial claims number came in at a whopping 853K and missed estimates by the largest amount since June. Yet,...

Quarterly Update & Outlook: Gavekal Knowledge Leaders Indexes

03 Aug, by Steven Vannelli, CFA in Knowledge Leaders

We're pleased to present our first quarterly commentary on the Gavekal Knowledge Leaders Indexes, the intellectual property behind our new strategic beta products. As a data driven firm, we spend significant time working with data, from sourcing it to scrubbing it to identify Knowledge Leaders,...

The Commodity Complex is Getting Decimated

17 Jul, by Bryce Coward, CFA in Markets

As we look at our screen today we see basically all commodities down between 1-2%, but this is just the continuation of a much longer-term trend. Indeed, economically sensitive commodities like copper, crude, natural gas and aluminum (charts below) are all plumbing/trying to plumb new...

Don’t Waste Your Time On Commodity ETFs

06 Apr, by Knowledge Leaders Team in Markets

Oil tends to get all the headline but commodities in general continue to take a beating. The Reuters CRB Continuous Commodity Index is down nearly 24% over the past year. Our commodities diffusion index is at its lowest level since February 2009....

Can Copper Prices Continue Climbing?

03 Jul, by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

Copper prices continue to recover from weakness earlier in the year, but are approaching an area of resistance: Taking an even longer-term view, we see just how important this level has been in the past five years: Our point-and-figure chart also indicates that copper prices...