Germany Tag

Expectations Take a Dive

25 Mar, by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

While the Ifo business climate appears to be hanging in there, the expectations component (light blue line)– for trade and industry as well as services– fell back quite a bit in March (not unlike the results of the ZEW Survey published last week): By sector,...

Few Bright Spots in the German ZEW Survey

18 Mar, by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

The economic outlook in Germany weakened for the third month in a row, according to the latest ZEW survey: Anticipation of stock market gains has fallen steadily since last September: The expectation for improvement in profits (red line) fell in a number of industries in...

What Does Today’s Ifo Survey Say About Tomorrow’s GDP Release?

24 Feb, by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

Continued improvement in Germany’s main business climate indicator– it is the highest it has been since July 2011– would seem to support further increases in the country’s GDP: We take note, however, that the expectations component of the survey fell for the first time since...

European Retail Sales Disappoint (Again)

05 Feb, by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

Contrary to the consensus for a 1.5% y/y gain in December, European retail sales fell (-1.0% y/y) and November’s gain was revised to a more modest 1.3%– the only year-over-year rise since April 2011. Unsurprisingly, yields in Germany fell back to levels previously seen in...

European Producer Prices

25 Nov, by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

Today’s release of October producer price data by Spain revealed a dip into negative territory: Germany’ producer price data has been fluctuating around zero for much of the year so far, making a more definitive move downward beginning in August: Meanwhile, France and Italy are...

Germany: Q3 GDP

22 Nov, by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

In the wake of recent criticism by the IMF (and even the U.S. Treasury) that it is too reliant on its exports, Germany released its detailed Q3 GDP report today....

Relative Strength for European Countries

20 Nov, by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

In addition to looking at individual companies in the relative strength point-and-figure methodology, we also have the ability to look at aggregates such as the MSCI World country indices.A quick look at the European countries reveals a disparate bunch.Some are in significant downtrends that will...

German Ifo Business Climate Survey

25 Oct, by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

Today’s disappointing Ifo Business Climate Survey was lead by a general drop in the assessment of the Services Sector and, in particular, a sharp fall in the expectations component:The overall moderation does not, however, appear to bode poorly for the upcoming release of economic output...

ZEW Survey

15 Oct, by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

In keeping with the familiar trend among European data releases, Germany appears to be the lone bright spot in an otherwise lackluster survey of economic sentiment:...

European Industrial Production

14 Oct, by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

In spite of a better than expected monthly rise in production (in August), industrial activity in the five largest European countries continues to contract on a yearly basis– with the exception of Germany:And the recent tick down in the PMI Manufacturing survey would not suggest...