The 1,000 or so participants in Sentix's monthly survey of whether or not a country will leave the euro collectively decided that the risk has subsided (slightly): The decline to 41% (from nearly 50% in April) was mostly attributable to risks related to Greece's membership in...
The odds of a Eurozone break-up remained unchanged at 38% in the most recent Sentix survey, conducted over the last three days of February– a level not seen consistently since 2012 and up considerably from last July’s 7% reading....
The likelihood of a country leaving the euro zone rose once again, according to sentix’s Euro Break-Up Index (EBI)....
As we have noted on a number of occasions in the last few months (here, here, and here), a number of often cited surveys pertaining to the Eurozone are exhibiting weak expectations–and today’s release of the Sentix survey is no different....
Once again, the expectations component of a survey– in this case, the Sentix Economic Index– have deviated from the story that the headline or current situation numbers would relay....
While the headline number increased, narrowly missing economists’ positive expectations (actual 13.9 versus consensus 14.0)… The ’Investor Expectations’ (the forward-looking component of the survey) declined: Though not perfect, the survey’s correlation with GDP suggests room for continued, but limited, improvement in the coming quarters:...
