Markets

A Trillion Here, a Trillion There…and What it Means for Stock Market Leadership July 27, 2020

Posted by Bryce Coward, CFA in Economy, Markets, Portfolio Management

Over the weekend the world learned of the Senate Republican’s “opening bid” for the next round of fiscal stimulus in the United States. That number came in at a nice, round $1tn. Now, as large as that number is, it still pales in comparison to…

10 Major Investment Implications (and 32 charts!) of a Weak US Dollar July 17, 2020

Posted by Bryce Coward, CFA in Economy, Markets, Portfolio Management

With the US dollar index recently having completed a so called “death cross”, we thought it would be a good opportunity to review the investment implications of a potential trend change in the USD. The “death cross” is a technical chart formation in which the…

Owning Gold is as Much about Diversification as it is about Capital Appreciation June 24, 2020

Posted by Bryce Coward, CFA in Economy, Markets, Portfolio Management

Regular readers of our content know that we have been building the case for several years now on why gold deserves a place in diversified portfolios. Sure, we see significant upside in gold (unlimited upside, in fact), aided as I will show by the unprecedented…

Ready for Another USD Rally? June 19, 2020

Posted by Steven Vannelli, CFA in Economy, Markets

As funding strains appeared in March, the USD surged. Then the Fed stepped in with massive foreign exchange swaps as a way to lend USD to foreign central banks, intended to ultimately be lent to borrowers in need of USD. As F/X swaps reached almost…

The Path to Average Equity Returns in the 2020s is Challenged June 12, 2020

Posted by Bryce Coward, CFA in Markets, Uncategorized

The returns of the 2009-2020 bull market were nothing short of extraordinary. From the 2009 low in the S&P 500 to the 2020 high, stocks gained a massive 488%, or nearly 18% on an annualized basis. This compares to an average nominal price return for…

There is Nothing Normal About the US Savings Rate May 29, 2020

Posted by Bryce Coward, CFA in Economy, Markets, Portfolio Management

Even as the stock market chugs up the wall of worry, we were reminded today that the economic fundamentals remain mired in simply unprecedented territory. As you can see in the first chart below, April saw both the largest increase ever in personal income (blue…

Keep an Eye on the Yuan & Corporate Spreads May 28, 2020

Posted by Steven Vannelli, CFA in Economy, Markets

Since the March 23, 2020 low, when the Federal Reserve announced basically unlimited liquidity via a variety of programs, corporate spreads have narrowed, and the stock market has risen substantially. In the chart below, I overlay US investment grade spreads over the S&P 500 Index….

If the Bear Market is Over, Why Are Commodities and Transports Underperforming? May 01, 2020

Posted by Bryce Coward, CFA in Markets

As Steve highlighted yesterday, we are beginning to see some important divergences develop between the stock market and other data that suggest we are not out of the woods yet. Of course, this makes complete sense since next week we may learn of an unemployment…

Important Divergence Between Equities and High-Yield Credit April 30, 2020

Posted by Steven Vannelli, CFA in Economy, Markets

While not 100% correlated, there tends to be a pretty good relationship between movements in the S&P 500 and credit spreads, both investment grade (IG) and high-yield (HY). As stocks sold off in February and March, credit spreads widened rapidly. And, then on March 23,…

Here’s Why 2/3rds of US Oil & Gas Companies May not Exist a Year from Now April 21, 2020

Posted by Bryce Coward, CFA in Economy, Markets

Energy companies are facing a life or death moment in 2020 with the price of WTI crude oil falling to $13.64/barrel as of this writing. Indeed the collapse in energy prices combined with poor fundamentals leading into the COVID crisis make most of the oil…

Welcome to the Death Throes of 60:40 Diversification March 11, 2020

Posted by Bryce Coward, CFA in Markets, Portfolio Management

Back in the good ole’ days of mid-January, asset allocators could look to long-duration US government bonds as a refuge for stormy weather. Those days are no longer. In recent weeks investors have panic bought into this supposed safety asset to a degree never before…

Why the Fed Cut Rates by 50bps: Will it Help? March 03, 2020

Posted by Steven Vannelli, CFA in Economy, Markets, News

Despite the relief rally yesterday, financial conditions have tightened significantly in the last couple weeks. This likely explains why the Fed just made an emergency 50bps cut to the fed funds rate. The graph below highlights that the two main areas of weaker financial conditions…

Anatomy of a Panic Selloff February 28, 2020

Posted by Bryce Coward, CFA in Markets

Anyone reading this post already knows that palpable panic has set into equity markets over recent days. We present these charts to highlight the extreme nature of the selloff so far, and as a reminder of the rarity of these events. In times like this,…

Mid-Quarter Update: Prognosis Negative February 28, 2020

Posted by Steven Vannelli, CFA in Markets, News

Widespread underperformance of Dow Jones Industrial Average stocks is a significant negative indicator for US stocks in our view. In this special report, we present charts of the 30 Dow stocks relative to long-duration US treasury bonds and gold for the last five years. Spoiler:…

A Selloff, But Not An Actionable Low…Yet February 25, 2020

Posted by Bryce Coward, CFA in Economy, Markets, Portfolio Management

Watching while the largest equity market in the world falls by a whopping 8% in four trading days brings us back to the 2008-2009 meltdown period of the financial crisis. Normally an 8% drop in such a short time frame would present an interesting intermediate-term…

Disclosures

The information presented here is for informational purposes only, and is not to be construed as an offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy, securities. Some investments are not suitable for all investors, and there can be no assurance that any investment strategy will be successful. Hyperlinks may be included in this message that provide direct access to other internet resources, including web sites. While we believe these links are to reliable sources, Knowledge Leaders Capital has no control over the accuracy or content of information contained on these sites. Although we make every effort to ensure such links are accurate, up to date and relevant, we have no control over pages maintained by external providers. The views expressed by these external providers on their own web pages or on external sites they link to are not necessarily those of Knowledge Leaders Capital.

The information listed on this blog is for example purposes only and should not be construed as the investment Advisor’s opinion or investment outlook. As of the most recent quarter end, the named companies may have been held by the investment Advisor. For full information including additional policies and full disclosures on the Advisor, please visit our website KnowledgeLeadersCapital.com.

An investor cannot invest directly in an index. Any reference to Index performance does not represent the performance of any investment product offered by Knowledge Leaders Capital, LLC. The performance of client account may vary from the Index performance. Index returns shown are not reflective of actual investor performance nor do they reflect fees and expenses applicable to investing. The Index data is the property of Knowledge Leaders Capital, LLC, which has contracted with SolactiveAG to calculate and maintain the indexes.

The launch date of the Knowledge Leaders Knowledge Leaders Developed World Index (Bloomberg ticker KNLGX is 7/1/14 and the base date of the index calculation is 3/31/2000. The launch date of the Knowledge Leaders Emerging Markets Index (Bloomberg ticker KNLGEX) is 9/2/14 and the base date of the index calculation is 4/1/2005. The launch date of the Knowledge Leaders International Index (Bloomberg ticker KNLGINX) is 8/15/16 and the base date of the index calculation is 3/31/2000. The launch date of the Knowledge Leaders United States Index (Bloomberg ticker KNLGUSX) is 8/15/16 and the base date of the index calculation is 3/31/2000. The launch date of the Knowledge Leaders Developed World ADR Index (Bloomberg ticker KNLGAX) is 9/13/16 and the base date of the index calculation is 3/31/2000. The launch date of the Knowledge Leaders International ADR Index (Bloomberg ticker KNLGINAX) is 8/30/16 and the base date of the index calculation is 3/31/2000.

The returns of the Index prior to the launch date are based on applying the rules in effect as of the launch date retroactively to historical periods to and including the base date. Results are not based on an Index that was maintained in real time. The pre-inception performance results of the Index are hypothetical returns which have been compiled by Knowledge Leaders Capital. The performance results are based upon a hypothetical model. Hypothetical performance results may have inherent limitations, some of which are described below. No representation is being made that any account did or was likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. One of the limitations of hypothetical performance results is that they are prepared with the benefit of hindsight. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading strategy which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results. These returns should not be considered as indicative of the skills of the investment adviser.To obtain additional index methodology and constituent components, please visit KnowledgeLeadersCapital.com.

Companies are selected for “Spotlights” based on high levels of innovation activities in their industries and illustrate innovation being employed across all sectors and geographies. Spotlight selection is separate from stock selection by the investment team. Spotlights are not necessarily representative of investment opportunities and can be selected regardless of investment performance.

Markets

A Trillion Here, a Trillion There…and What it Means for Stock Market Leadership July 27, 2020

10 Major Investment Implications (and 32 charts!) of a Weak US Dollar July 17, 2020

Owning Gold is as Much about Diversification as it is about Capital Appreciation June 24, 2020

Ready for Another USD Rally? June 19, 2020

The Path to Average Equity Returns in the 2020s is Challenged June 12, 2020

There is Nothing Normal About the US Savings Rate May 29, 2020

Keep an Eye on the Yuan & Corporate Spreads May 28, 2020

If the Bear Market is Over, Why Are Commodities and Transports Underperforming? May 01, 2020

Important Divergence Between Equities and High-Yield Credit April 30, 2020

Here’s Why 2/3rds of US Oil & Gas Companies May not Exist a Year from Now April 21, 2020

Welcome to the Death Throes of 60:40 Diversification March 11, 2020

Why the Fed Cut Rates by 50bps: Will it Help? March 03, 2020

Anatomy of a Panic Selloff February 28, 2020

Mid-Quarter Update: Prognosis Negative February 28, 2020

A Selloff, But Not An Actionable Low…Yet February 25, 2020

Subscribe to Email Updates

Trending Now

Knowledge Leaders Blog