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The Strong USD Is Negatively Impacting US Trade March 06, 2015

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Economy

Exports have been a solid contributor to US GDP growth for the last few years, while consumption and residential investment have been more restrained.  Recently, with consumption firming and likely to improve further from the tail-wind of lower oil prices, and exports faltering, it appears the drivers of the US economy are trading places.

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USD and Purchasing Power Parity March 06, 2015

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Economy

We mentioned yesterday that the US dollar is again breaking out and that tends to be negative for most stocks around the world. Today, we thought we would continue to look at US dollar strength. The nominal trade-weighted dollar index by major currencies is again very close to breaking out to 11+ year highs.

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When $75 Billion In Intangible Capital Goes Unnoticed March 05, 2015

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Knowledge Leaders

One of the flagship principles of our investment process is an investment in intangible capital should be treated the same from an accounting standpoint as an investment in physical capital . Said differently, we are firm believers in the symmetry principle for capital accounting.

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The Dollar Is Breaking Out Again And What That Means For Stocks March 04, 2015

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Markets

The ICE US dollar index looks to have broken out of what has been a rather short-lived consolidation after the massive move since the middle of 2014. If this is in fact the start of another round of dollar strength, then stock investors should carefully consider where in the world to deploy cash into stocks.

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Energy And Utilities Have Been The Most Volatile Sectors March 04, 2015

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Markets

Volatility, as measured by the standard deviation of the the daily percent change in stock prices, has fallen since the beginning of the year in the MSCI World Index. The one month moving average of volatility has dropped to 0.54 from a high 0.86 on January 23rd.

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Where in the World is the Growth? EM Asia, and That’s It! March 04, 2015

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Markets

It’s no secret that growth estimates for companies all over the world have been weak recently. We’re written about the topic here and here in just the last week. What remains striking, though, is that six years into a recovery top and bottom line growth expectations remain weak.

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Sentix Euro Break Up Index Remains Elevated March 03, 2015

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Markets

The odds of a Eurozone break-up remained unchanged at 38% in the most recent Sentix survey, conducted over the last three days of February– a level not seen consistently since 2012 and up considerably from last July’s 7% reading.

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