10 year Treasury rates peaked at the end of March at 1.74% after having risen from low of just 0.56% back in the summer of 2020. Now, the rate stands at 1.57% even as economic data continues to come in smoking hot and policy remains…
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In this Q1 2021 slide presentation of our quarterly strategy report, we discuss the following topics: -The level of speculative activity in markets this year has been extreme in our view. More money has come into world stock markets in the last 5 months than…
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By reversing an accounting error, we identify Knowledge Leaders across the world. Steve and Bryce give a brief tour of what innovation leadership looks like and where we find investment opportunities in every region and all 11 economic sectors. A New Lens for Looking at…
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Steve and Bryce describe our process for correcting the obstruction created by current accounting standards. We track down innovation investments in company financial statements, reverse the error, and create a new intangible-adjusted financial history that we use to screen for the Knowledge Leaders that form…
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The nature of corporate investing has changed, with a greater than ever focus on intellectual property. In this video, Steve and Bryce describe how an outdated accounting rule renders these investments practically invisible, making it difficult to tell the difference between the Knowledge Leaders who…
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The digital revolution has changed the economics of every industry in every region of the world, creating a growth engine for the last half century and inadvertently, a market anomaly by which highly innovative companies tend to deliver excess returns in the stock market. This…
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It’s no secret that money has poured into passive equity vehicles as investors seek low fees above all else. To date, that has worked out just fine since equity indexes have compounded their returns at acceptable, if not above average, rates of returns. But, the…
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In this Mid-Quarter Update presentation, we share our thoughts on the combination of factors setting up the potential for a major asset allocation rotation into US Treasury bonds. Click to download slides: Is it Time to Revisit US Treasury Bonds? Questions? Email us at investmentteam@klcapital.com. …
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To say the market is bubblelicious is a bit of an understatement given that retail “investment” in call options and penny stocks is quite literally off the charts, dwarfing numbers we saw in 1998-2000. We’ve hit on those worries like a broken record here and…
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In this Q4 2020 slide presentation of our quarterly strategy report, we discuss: Bob Farrell’s Rules for Trading (#5 and #7 especially resonate with us right now). What the retail trading frenzy, recent IPOs and speculation can tell us about where we are in the…
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This week we were privy to both new inflation and initial unemployment claims data. The CPI data revealed a rather mundane inflation scenario. Meanwhile, the weekly initial claims number came in at a whopping 853K and missed estimates by the largest amount since June. Yet,…
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Inflation expectations as priced by the Treasury market are hitting 18 month highs just now. As the reader can see, inflation expectations across all treasury maturities are at cycle highs. This is happening coincident with growing expectations for the $908bn bipartisan stimulus deal and widespread…
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There couldn’t be a greater cocktail of recent news, with three COVID vaccines showing strong promise and the political transition beginning to formally occur. All this with the backdrop of zero interest rates and a record fiscal deficit. Our thoughts on risks in the equity…
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Since early August the “barbarous relic” has corrected some 9% while many other assets have ascended to all-time highs. This has no doubt caused a bit of consternation for holders of gold who have been using the metal not as a hedge, but as a…
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Monday of this week stood out as the single largest day of outperformance of the value style relative to the growth style in 25 years. Many companies that are strongly associated with the value style, such as financials and energy companies, were up in excess…
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