Gold Tag

Mid-Quarter Update: Prognosis Negative

28 Feb, by Steven Vannelli, CFA in Markets, News

Widespread underperformance of Dow Jones Industrial Average stocks is a significant negative indicator for US stocks in our view. In this special report, we present charts of the 30 Dow stocks relative to long-duration US treasury bonds and gold for the last five years. Spoiler:...

What’s Behind the Breakout in Gold?

20 Feb, by Bryce Coward, CFA in Economy, Markets

This week’s breakout in gold is an epic expression of our times in which potential economic problems are quickly followed by massive actual and expected responses by central banks and governments. The problem de jour (for both markets and the public) is of course the...

Oil Is Breaking Out, So Are Inflation Expectations

19 Apr, by Bryce Coward, CFA in Markets, Portfolio Management

After spending the last four months consolidating gains, crude oil is breaking higher again, and it's taking inflation expectations with it (charts 1 & 2). The break higher in crude isn't surprising given that oil fundamentals haven't been this good in years. Neither is the...

Gold and the Yield Curve Are Confirming Each Other

30 May, by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

A few months ago in a post titled, ”How Bullish is a Bull Flattener?” we took a look at how bull flattening of the yield curve (when the long end falls faster than the shorter end) has tended to impact various assets....

How Bullish is a Bull Flattener?

27 Mar, by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

Over the last 4.5 months the spread between the 30 year treasury yields and 10 year treasury yields has fallen from 112bps to 85bps, a difference of 27bps, and that spread has been falling fast in recent weeks....