Housing Tag

More Evidence of a Slowing Housing Market, and its Implications

19 Oct, by Bryce Coward, CFA in Economy

Today, economy watchers were treated to more of the same from the housing market. That is, more weak numbers suggesting we may have seen the peak in housing activity for the cycle. This fits with our earlier analysis that higher lending rates - a function...

Higher Mortgage Rates are Starting to Bite the Housing Market

28 Sep, by Bryce Coward, CFA in Economy

Sooner or later, higher mortgage rates (which are keyed off of the 10-year treasury yield) were always bound to start slowing the housing market. It was more a matter of what level of rates would be necessary to take the first bites out of housing....

San Francisco Real Estate Is 75% Above Housing Crisis Lows

26 May, by Knowledge Leaders Team in News

The latest (March) Case-Shiller Home Price Index was released this morning and there were several noteworthy data points in the report. First, our 3-month diffusion index that measures the number of cities where prices are higher now than they were three months ago increased by...

US House Prices At 7-Year Highs

07 Apr, by Knowledge Leaders Team in News

Corelogic’s home price index came out this morning and showed that home prices across the board, including and excluding distressed sales, are at a 7-year high in the US. Single-family combined homes including distressed sales rose by 1.12% MoM in March. Excluding distressed sales, it...

No, Lumber Liquidators Isn’t To Blame For Weak Lumber Prices

17 Mar, by Knowledge Leaders Team in News

February housing starts were released this morning and they were pretty terrible. Expectations were for starts to come in around 1.048 million. Instead, housing starts came in at a paltry 897K. Housing starts are now at the level as they were in January 2013....

The Pop In US Mortgage Apps Was Fun While It Lasted

25 Feb, by Knowledge Leaders Team in Economy

After starting the year off with a bang (thanks to refinancing activity), US mortgage applications are tumbling back towards the depressed 2014 levels. Mortgage apps fell for the third straight week even as the purchase index rose for the first time in seven weeks....

US Existing Home Sales Drop To 9-Month Low

23 Feb, by Knowledge Leaders Team in News

US existing home sales fell by 4.9% in January to 4.82 million. This is the lowest level since April of last year. The western region remains by far the weakest region while the south remains the strongest. Months supply remained relatively steady at 4.7 months...

CFNAI Makes 94-Month High, Existing Home Sales Disappoint

22 Dec, by Knowledge Leaders Team in News

As has seemingly been the case all year (or maybe even the past four years), we had a mixed bag of economic releases today in the United States. On the positive side, we had the Chicago Fed National Activity Index post the highest monthly number...

Spike In New Home Prices

26 Nov, by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

US new home sales underwhelmed again in October. The latest data point came in at 458K SAAR versus consensus of 470K. What really caught are eye was the volatile increase in average and median prices. The average sales price spiked by nearly 28% month-over-month, easily...

Dallas And Denver Home Price Boom Continues

28 Oct, by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

Looking out of our office and seeing signs of construction activity across Denver, it can be hard to imagine that 20% of the cities in the S&P Case-Shiller Home Price Index are still at least 30% off its all-time high....

US Mortgage Applications fall to 714-week low

10 Sep, by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

Last week we commented that US mortgage applications weren’t showing the bounce that other housing stats such as housing starts and existing home sales were showing year-to-date. Not only did mortgage applications not bounce back this week, but mortgage applications actually broke down to new lows...

US Mortgage Applications Still Can’t Get Off The Mat

03 Sep, by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

Each Wednesday morning we look forward to seeing if this will be the week that mortgage applications finally start to mirror the bounce we have seen in housing starts and existing home sales this year. Once again, however, housing starts remained weak....

US Home Prices Rise In July

02 Sep, by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

CoreLogic released their home price index for July today and it showed another 1.25% month-over-month gain in June (including distressed sales). Their index is 7.4% higher than one year ago. If you exclude distressed sales, house prices still rose by 1.07% in July and are...