Europe: Short-Term OversoldAugust 04, 2014
One of the ways we track movements in the equity markets is by considering the number of stocks in a sector trading above a moving average. For a shorter term view, we use 20 days (trading days, not calendar days). We calculate this breadth stat daily for all the regions and sectors in the MSCI World index. A reading of 20% or lower–meaning less than 20% of companies in a given region or industry are above their 20-day moving average– constitutes an oversold condition.
The MSCI World index isn’t quite registering an oversold condition, helped a recently resilient Asia-Pacific. Europe is the one region where we observe a shorter term oversold condition, with only 12% of stocks in the region above their 20-day moving average.
The only two sectors not in oversold territory by this measure are information technology and health care. Everything else is in oversold territory, with fewer than 20% of the names in each sector above their 20-day moving average. Charts of the oversold European sectors are below.