Blog

European Retail Sales and Unemployment January 08, 2014

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

Overall retail sales came in much higher than the expected +0.3%yoy gain: Meanwhile, the unemployment rate for the entirety of the region remained steady for the eighth month in a row: However, when we look more closely at some of the individual countries, we notice a somewhat unexpected phenomenon.

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ADP Employment Report Rises To 13 Month High January 08, 2014

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

ADP showed a monthly increase of 238,000 jobs in December. This was the largest gain since November 2012. Perhaps most importantly for the labor market the gain was led by small firms (1-49 employees) which hired about 108,000 people in December. This was the largest increase for small firms since February 2012.

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Vehicle Registrations: U.K. versus Europe January 07, 2014

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

Today’s release of statistics on car registrations in the U.K. continues a string of positive data releases.  The cumulative total for 2013 (2.26 million) was the highest since 2007 (2.40 million) and up considerably from the low of just 1.94 million registrations in 2011.

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Submerging Markets January 07, 2014

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

While the new year is only seven days old, there is already a trend of emerging market underperformance. There are several ETFs (below) we track to measure what is going on in the emerging markets…or the submerging markets as the case may be.

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World Inflation Remains Contained January 07, 2014

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

World CPI (based on the average year-over-year change in 33 countries) ticked up slightly in November from 1.76% to 1.9%. Meanwhile, World PPI (based on the average year-over-year change in 22 countries) ticked up slightly as well but still remains negative in November.

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Bond Funds Post Largest Yearly Outflow Since 2004 January 06, 2014

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

In what was the biggest bond market rout in years, bond funds saw just over $500bn of outflows in 2013 according to the Investment Company Institute (through November). Meanwhile, equity funds accumulated $128bn in new assets, making 2013 the best asset accumulation year since 2007.

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European Sector Overview January 06, 2014

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

Though we primarily use our point-and-figure methodology when assessing attributes of individual stocks, we are also able to look at broader sets of data (such as sectors) to get a quick sense of price performance.For the MSCI Europe, we have the good… …the bad… …and the undecideds: These charts serve as a good visual complement

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Commercial Paper Plunging January 06, 2014

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

Commercial paper peaked at just under $2.2 trillion in 2007 before the wheels came off the shadow banking system.  It is currently just over $950 billion, and still falling, almost seven years later.  If present trends persist, the amount of outstanding commercial paper will make a new low in the weeks to come.

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ISM Non-Manufacturing Orders Fall To 4 1/2 Year Low January 06, 2014

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

While the headline ISM non-manufacturing number came just slightly below consensus (53 vs 54.8), the major news out of this report was new orders contracting for the first time since July 2009. In a mere four months, new orders have fallen from 60.5 to 49.4.

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