Regular readers of this blog and of our other commentary know that we have been been looking for some kind of cyclical rebound in economic activity starting in the first quarter of 2020. By many indications, we are getting just that, and right on time….
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How will the coronavirus and quarantine impact China’s economy? Steve looks at what’s happened so far in China’s currency and fixed income markets. Bryce shares new data that casts doubt on comparisons to SARS, indicating coronavirus could be a much bigger deal. On The Intangible…
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As we write, US stocks are down about 1.6% on the day, foreign developed market stocks are down 1.8%, and emerging market stocks are down about 2.4%. This type of corrective action did not really come as a surprise to us. Indeed just two weeks…
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Sell-offs can start for any number of endogenous or exogenous events. A mentor used to tell me, “There are a million reasons to sell a stock, but one reason to buy.” What he meant was that there are always personal reasons to sell: tuition is…
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10-Year US Treasury yields are down about 30bps so far this year, continuing the trend of lower rates that began in the fall of 2018 and confounding investor expectations for rising rates which would validate a turn up in economic activity. The primary driver of…
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There are a number of factors that have us tactically concerned about a period of over-exuberance among equity investors. Those include record low put/call ratios and extreme inflows into equity ETFs. But among the more troubling facts of late is the breakdown in breadth we…
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Have you ever wondered why innovative companies seem to beat expectations time and again? Bryce explains how investing in intellectual property can skew a company’s earnings and discusses some of the sectors and companies leading this trend. What will the recent drop in net savings…
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Unless something dramatically changes in the final few days of 2019, the 4th quarter for equity market performance will be one to write home about. The S&P 500 is currently on track to deliver about a 9% price return, which would be the second best…
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With US Treasury growth expectations making a new low for the year, Steve offers three possible conclusions for asset allocation. Bryce describes a possible trend change in the relative performance of foreign stocks compared to domestic stocks. On The Intangible Investor Podcast, Bryce Coward and…
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For the last several months we’ve been talking about the distinct possibility of a period of foreign equity outperformance that investors would be remiss to miss. Indeed, it may be hard to contemplate tilting one’s portfolio in favor of foreign markets after such a great…
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