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Stock Picks in the European Technology Sector June 10, 2015

By Steven Vannelli, CFA in Portfolio Management

For the last five years the European technology sector has been locked in a trading range relative to the MSCI All Country World Index (USD). Recently, however, European technology stocks have been performing quite well.  On an equal weighted basis, they have been the second…

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June is Out… But 2015 Lift-off Still On June 08, 2015

By Steven Vannelli, CFA in Markets

Looking at Fed Funds futures contracts, it would appear that the fixed income market has ruled out a June rate hike but is coming back to the idea of a 2015 lift-off.  Currently June fed funds future are spot on the current effective fed funds…

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US Corporate Profit Margins Are Coming Back Down To Earth May 29, 2015

By Knowledge Leaders Team in News

Today wasn’t the best day for US economic releases. The 2nd revision of 1Q GDP was (unsurprisingly) revised down from 0.2% to -0.7%. The release that caught our eye, however, was the initial release of corporate profits in the US for the first quarter. After-tax…

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Inflation Expectations Are Turning Back Over In The US May 28, 2015

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Economy

TIPS derived breakeven inflation expectations have started to fall once again in May. For a little context, starting in last June, breakeven inflation started a steady march lower that lasted until January of this year. Since that time, we have seen a rebound in inflation…

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Knowledge Leaders Are Outperforming YTD May 27, 2015

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Knowledge Leaders

In our white paper “The Knowledge Effect: Excess Returns Of Highly Innovative Companies”, we identified a stock market pricing anomaly in highly innovative companies.  The tendency of stocks of highly innovative companies to experience excess returns can be traced back to two main factors: A…

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Decline in Sentix Euro Break-Up Survey May 27, 2015

By Knowledge Leaders Team in News

The 1,000 or so participants in Sentix’s monthly survey of whether or not a country will leave the euro collectively decided that the risk has subsided (slightly): The decline to 41% (from nearly 50% in April) was mostly attributable to risks related to Greece’s membership…

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San Francisco Real Estate Is 75% Above Housing Crisis Lows May 26, 2015

By Knowledge Leaders Team in News

The latest (March) Case-Shiller Home Price Index was released this morning and there were several noteworthy data points in the report. First, our 3-month diffusion index that measures the number of cities where prices are higher now than they were three months ago increased by…

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European And Asian Stocks Are Approaching Overbought Levels May 22, 2015

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Markets

Unlike the majority of this six year old bull market, European and Asian stocks are outperforming North American stocks in 2015 (yes even measured in USD). Asian stocks are nearly 12% higher, European stocks are nearly 10% higher and North America stocks are just about…

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Longer Term Trends Have Reasserted Itself In May May 21, 2015

By Knowledge Leaders Team in Markets

Remember back in April when we noted how equity trends had completely flip-flopped during the first several weeks of the second quarter and we wondered aloud whether this was a trend change or simply a counter-trend rally? Well, so far in May the market is…

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