Uncategorized

Will Higher Rates Threaten the UK Housing Market? June 13, 2014

Posted by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

Following Mark Carney’s warning on mortgage debt and rising interest rates in the UK earlier today, homebuilders and home improvement stocks have (not surprisingly) underperformed: PersimmonKingfisher While one day’s movement is not usually a major concern, the 7% and 4% declines, respectively, in Persimmon and Kingfisher will likely result in violations of their support in

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Performance by Country, Without the Noise June 13, 2014

Posted by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

As regular readers know, we use relative strength point-and-figure methodology as one input in our process.  One of the main benefits of the system is the ability to see beyond short-term fluctuations in the price of a stock.

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New Highs Have Recently Expanded June 12, 2014

Posted by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

Breadth has improved somewhat in the market recently. During this latest burst higher over the past three weeks, the MSCI World has experienced an expansion in new highs across a variety of time frames.

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Digging Into Dividends – Who Actually Pays Dividends June 12, 2014

Posted by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

Q: Which sector in the MSCI World Index has the highest percentage of companies paying a dividend? A: No, it’s not your ”bond proxy” sectors like Telecom or Utilities. No, it’s also not coming from the financial sector. The answer,surprisingly, is the Consumer Staples sector. 97.5% of all consumer staple stocks pay a dividend.

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Lumber has Entered a Bear Market June 10, 2014

Posted by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

Lumber prices are now down nearly 21% from the December peak of $375/bft and are now trading at $297.6/btf. We’ve noted several times how lumber prices (a measure of the health of the US economy) have completely disconnected from stock prices, and today’s action confirms that continued disconnect.

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Are Correlations Made To Be Broken? June 10, 2014

Posted by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

For the last three years, the 10-year US Treasury bond has moved pretty much in lock step with Fed asset purchases.  Int he chart below, we show the 10-year UST (with a 4 month lag) and the three month accumulation in Fed assets.

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Citrus-Flavored Johnny Walker??? June 10, 2014

Posted by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

In a recent interview with the Wall Street Journal (here), the CEO of Diageo– the world’s largest distiller & vintner by sales– put to rest any fears that the Johnny Walker brand would see a ’flavor extension’ anytime in the near future.

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New Highs Led By Industrials and Financials June 09, 2014

Posted by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

Across the MSCI World Index, the Industrials and Financials sectors are making the most new highs: By Region, the sectors making new highs varies only slightly from the World trend: Asia-Pacific Europe North America

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What A ZIRP World Looks Like June 06, 2014

Posted by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

Out of the United States, China, Australia, Germany, Canada, EMU, and Japan, only China has seen their bond yields, both government and corporate, move higher over the past five years. Outside of China , government bond yields have been moving in tandem recently.

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Median Stock Valuations are Still Near a Record High June 05, 2014

Posted by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

Measuring the valuation level of the median stock in an index can help mitigate the market-cap-weighted bias associated with many index level valuation statistics. This is important because index level valuations that are heavily influenced by a handful of large companies can give a misleading representation of prevailing valuations for most stocks.

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How Much Tighter Can Junk Spreads Get? June 05, 2014

Posted by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

The chase for yield has driven the the spread between junk bonds and AAA bonds to a 20-year low level of just 79 points. This has happened at the same time as the AAA-10-year spread has widened. The Junk-10-year spread remains historically tight.

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