Growth Tag

Developed Market Performance Since the 10/12/22 Low

28 Feb, by Steven Vannelli, CFA in Markets

Stocks ground into a low on October 12, 2022, and have since recovered about 15.21%. The Morningstar Developed Markets Large-Mid Cap Index has also experienced a golden cross where the 50-day moving average rises through the 200-day moving average. Generally, I view a security trading...

Inversion

20 Dec, by Steven Vannelli, CFA in Economy, Markets

In a recent San Francisco Federal Reserve Publication titled “Monetary Policy Stance is Tighter Than Fed Funds Rate,” the authors argue that the “all in” policy rate is actually higher than the Fed Funds rate would suggest. They open: “The Federal Reserve’s use of forward...

Is Now the Time for Small Cap Growth to Shine?

03 Aug, by Steven Vannelli, CFA in Markets

Across US indexes, growth has experienced a resurgence relative to value off the June 17, 2022 low. In this piece, I am going to focus on small-cap stocks and consider their merits through the lens of: 1) US Treasury yields, 2) oil prices, and 3)...

Inflation, Growth, China and Financial Markets

19 May, by Steven Vannelli, CFA in Economy, Markets

All year inflation has been the narrative driving markets. Since December 2021, once the Bloomberg Commodity Index (BCOM) took off, rates have risen in tandem. But, interestingly enough the BCOM has been flat since peaking on March 8, 2022. Every day we seem to be blasted...

Breakdown

23 Jul, by Steven Vannelli, CFA in Economy, Knowledge Leaders, Markets

We believe the technology sector is broadly breaking down. ​​​​​That's the bad news. The good news is that the correlation between pure growth stocks and pure value stocks has plunged. This means that growth only explains about 5% of the movement in value stocks right now....

Is the Re-Opening/Value Trade Over?

07 Jul, by Steven Vannelli, CFA in Markets, Portfolio Management

Interest rates have been falling in recent months leading some to speculate that the “re-opening” trade has run its course. This in turn begs the question as to whether the “value” trade is over. On both accounts, we see signals that still point to an...

2 Industries With A Large Disconnect Between Growth And Price

21 Aug, by Knowledge Leaders Team in Uncategorized

When it comes to stock valuation, it makes sense that the fastest growing industries should command the highest valuations. And as we will show, in general this holds true. However, there are always exceptions and this is where one can find interesting mispricings. Let’s set...